Reports
Australian inflation keeps plateauing – and the RBA is concerned
Reports
Our Brazil GDP nowcast is less bullish than before
Brazil probably had a weaker first quarter than CEIC's proprietary GDP nowcast had previously anticipated. Nonetheless, it is still estimated to have grown at a faster rate than the previous quarter.
Reports
Swiping cards and eating sandwiches on the go: real-time indicators of weaker UK spending
To get a real-time sense of consumer confidence, watch Britons' daily use of their payment cards – especially their spending on takeaway sandwiches and coffee.
Reports
Stubborn core inflation in Japan and UK persists, our nowcasts say
Global inflation has proven sticky in 2024. CEIC's newest proprietary nowcasts suggest the situation is unlikely to change soon.
Reports
India's volatile food prices and their link to the palm oil plantations of Malaysia
In a welcome trend for Indian consumers, vegetable oil prices are falling after a surge earlier in the year. To explore the roots of this price movement, we travel to the key sources of palm oil: Malaysia and Indonesia, which together account for 80% of global exports.
Reports
Tracking the tight Trump-Biden race in the polls
CEIC has added polling data from YouGov (in partnership with the Economist magazine) tracking Americans' voting intentions. The most recent survey indicates that Donald Trump and Joe Biden continue to be in a tight race, with the former president recently pulling ahead of the incumbent by a single percentage point.
Reports
Trade-weighting Indonesia's rupiah: the rate surprise wasn't just to fend off dollar strength
Trade-weighted exchange rates strip away the outsized importance of the dollar in global currency markets, enabling a more holistic perspective on an economy. Indonesia, which implemented a surprise rate hike recently to shore up the rupiah, is an interesting case in point.
Reports
Flooding devastates Brazil: the economic implications
Heavy rainfall has led to widespread flooding in the southern Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul. With dozens of fatalities and more than 100,000 people forced to leave their homes, there will be a hit to the public finances as the government helps victims and rebuilds infrastructure.
Reports
India’s construction workers: a regional divide as inflation hits wages
Building infrastructure has been a key focus of the Indian government during Narendra Modi's decade in power. The benefits for the 71 million people building all those roads, port upgrades and industrial facilities have played out differently by region; many workers have seen inflation erode their wage gains.
Reports
Using China’s Weekly Air Traffic to Analyze the Wider Economy
CEIC's China Premium Database contains high-frequency information on airline trips, including regional breakdowns. This kind of granular mobility data allows analysts to assess differing trends in China's provinces, as well as see a near-real time weekly time series that can feed into nowcasts.