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Markets don’t see looser policy yet as Warsh named to lead Fed
Markets are digesting Donald Trump's pick to lead the Federal Reserve Board. Kevin Warsh will succeed Jerome Powell, whose cautious policy frequently resulted in the president’s criticism. Will Warsh live up to his reputation as an inflation hawk, or are his current views more aligned with the president?
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Turkey’s reserves surge on gold rally
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has been a notable beneficiary of soaring gold prices.
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ASEAN nations have trouble trading with each other
In an increasingly fractured global economy, ASEAN policymakers have been discussing greater regional self-sufficiency: trading more within the Southeast Asian economic bloc, rather than relying on large external markets – i.e. the US.
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Dramatic days for Japanese bonds ahead of snap Sanaenomics election
The "bond vigilantes" are back in Japan amid Sanae Takaichi's plans to spend more and cut taxes. The Japanese prime minister is putting her policies to the voters in a Feb. 8 snap election, aiming to capitalize on the popularity of this agenda despite fatigue with her LDP party.
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Japan-China trade and rare earths
Recent developments in China-Japan trade relations have drawn attention. Rare-earth elements, magnets, chemicals and technology-related components could be affected.
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High-frequency Indonesia food index suggests a slowdown for inflation
Our proprietary food index for Indonesia is providing a heads up for yet-to-be-released official inflation statistics – suggesting a sharp slowdown after a late 2025 price surge.
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EU-Mercosur deal has scope to revive lackluster trade trends
The EU reached a historic trade deal this month even as Donald Trump threatened to tariff European countries. After 25 years of talks, Mercosur – the 5-nation South American bloc led by Brazil and Argentina – signed a deal creating one of the largest free-trade areas in the world.
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US trade and industries at risk for Greenland's European allies
Donald Trump called off planned tariffs on European military allies that opposed his vow to acquire Greenland, but it's worth examining US trade relationships that were in the balance.
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Global gold shipments distort US trade and GDP nowcast (again)
GDPNow has just seen another sudden revision: after US trade figures for October were released on Jan. 8, the nowcast was revised to a 5%-plus rate of real-time economic growth – a jump of two percentage points and a two-year high.