Articles

Curated news and insights covering emerging and developed markets directly from CEIC's analysts worldwide.  

The Warsh effect tracking expectations for the next three Fed meetings
Articles

Markets don’t see looser policy yet as Warsh named to lead Fed

Markets are digesting Donald Trump's pick to lead the Federal Reserve Board. Kevin Warsh will succeed Jerome Powell, whose cautious policy frequently resulted in the president’s criticism. Will Warsh live up to his reputation as an inflation hawk, or are his current views more aligned with the president?
Gold rally pushes Turkeys reserves to record USD 216 billion
Articles

Turkey’s reserves surge on gold rally

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has been a notable beneficiary of soaring gold prices.
ASEAN trade integration has been in retreat
Articles

ASEAN nations have trouble trading with each other

In an increasingly fractured global economy, ASEAN policymakers have been discussing greater regional self-sufficiency: trading more within the Southeast Asian economic bloc, rather than relying on large external markets – i.e. the US.
Wary investors amid Sanaenomics Flows into Japanese bonds are negatively correlated with rapid yield changes
Articles

Dramatic days for Japanese bonds ahead of snap Sanaenomics election

The "bond vigilantes" are back in Japan amid Sanae Takaichi's plans to spend more and cut taxes. The Japanese prime minister is putting her policies to the voters in a Feb. 8 snap election, aiming to capitalize on the popularity of this agenda despite fatigue with her LDP party.
Japans rare-earth supplies still largely depend on China
Articles

Japan-China trade and rare earths

Recent developments in China-Japan trade relations have drawn attention. Rare-earth elements, magnets, chemicals and technology-related components could be affected.
CEICs daily food index for Indonesia suggests sharply slowing prices for a key inflation metric
Articles

High-frequency Indonesia food index suggests a slowdown for inflation

Our proprietary food index for Indonesia is providing a heads up for yet-to-be-released official inflation statistics – suggesting a sharp slowdown after a late 2025 price surge.
Can the EU-Mercosur deal reverse Europes declining role in South American trade
Articles

EU-Mercosur deal has scope to revive lackluster trade trends

The EU reached a historic trade deal this month even as Donald Trump threatened to tariff European countries. After 25 years of talks, Mercosur – the 5-nation South American bloc led by Brazil and Argentina – signed a deal creating one of the largest free-trade areas in the world.
The Greenland dispute and US-EU trade Trump tariff threat would have affected 10 of US imports
Articles

US trade and industries at risk for Greenland's European allies

Donald Trump called off planned tariffs on European military allies that opposed his vow to acquire Greenland, but it's worth examining US trade relationships that were in the balance.
Gold-skewed volatile US external trade and how it has affected the GDPNow model in Trump 20
Articles

Global gold shipments distort US trade and GDP nowcast (again)

GDPNow has just seen another sudden revision: after US trade figures for October were released on Jan. 8, the nowcast was revised to a 5%-plus rate of real-time economic growth – a jump of two percentage points and a two-year high.

Interested in This Data?

 Access CEIC’s economic, industry and sector data through the platform that best serves your data and analytical needs: APIs, feeds, or third-party econometric platforms.