Articles
Daily payment card data from the world's fuel stations point to war-driven uptick in the CPI
From the first Gulf War in 1990 to the current crisis in the Strait of Hormuz, the quickest impacts from geopolitical shocks often show up in gasoline prices and then feed into inflation.
Articles
Entrepreneurs starting (or closing) businesses are a leading indicator in Singapore
Our ASEAN Premium database unlocks more early signals for the world's most dynamic economies. We examined the formation of new businesses in Singapore – a leading indicator for industrial production, as a rush of new entrants often reflects optimism in a given sector.
Articles
Watching UK food prices with a new high-frequency index
As the Persian Gulf crisis threatens a 2022-style reignition of global inflation, we're adding new high-frequency indices to track food prices. Our latest index zeroes in on Britain, which was already suffering from stickier inflation than most of its former EU peers.
Articles
US drivers face sharpest price increases to fill up
The halt to Gulf crude-oil shipments is starting to show up at the pump – especially in the US.
This American exceptionalism reflects factors that historically make gasoline cheap on a global basis: relatively low taxes and transport costs, given abundant local supplies.
This American exceptionalism reflects factors that historically make gasoline cheap on a global basis: relatively low taxes and transport costs, given abundant local supplies.